Embraer Forecasts Demand For 8,500 New Jets

News - Commercial Aviation

Embraer Forecasts Demand For 8,500 New Jets

Published

July 18, 2026

· 20-year worldwide demand for 8,500 sub-150-seat jets
· Value of new orders USD 650 billion
· China will lead annual RPK growth
· North America will lead jet aircraft deliverie

São José dos Campos, Brazil, July 18, 2026 – Embraer (NYSE: EMBJ; B3: EMBJ3) has published the Market Outlook 2026, its annual 20-year forecast for commercial jet aircraft deliveries in the sub-150-seat category. The report was released in advance of the Farnborough Air Show next week.

Market Outlook 2026 estimates 8,500 orders valued at USD 650 billion for new jets through 2045. It also presents analyses of global influences and trends in seven world regions that impact the demand for new aircraft. The document also analyzes the standard body (< 40t) cargo segment.

In the report's introduction, Arjan Meijer, Embraer President and CEO of Commercial Aviation, notes that a realignment of how people, capital and goods move around the globe will impact future flows of airline passengers.

"The expansion of advanced manufacturing clusters and regional value chains is generating sustained demand for efficient, high-frequency links between emerging economic centres." He also cites how a shift in consumer preferences, particularly in tourism, is driving a need for greater airline network connectivity to smaller markets with sub-150-seat aircraft.

Highlights of the 20-Year Commercial Market Outlook – By the Numbers

World passenger traffic, measured in revenue passenger kilometers (RPK) is forecast to grow 3.7% annually through 2045. China will lead among seven global regions.

Annual RPK regional growth rate – ranked 5.2% China 4.6% Middle East 4.4% Africa 4.3% Latin America & Caribbean 4.1% Asia Pacific 2.7% Europe 2.0% North America

RPK share by the end of 2045 40% Asia Pacific + China 37% Europe + North America

Global demand for new jets up to 150 seats 8,500 units

Market value of new aircraft USD 650 billion

Jet deliveries - 8,500 (% share) – by region 2,670 North America (31%) 1,870 Europe/CIS (22%) 1,470 China (17%) 1,050 Asia Pacific (13%) 740 Latin America (9%) 370 Africa (4%) 330 Middle East (4%)

Download the complete Embraer 2026 Market Outlook at https://embraer.com/eca/marketoutlook/en/

Images: https://embraer.imagerelay.com/sb/b66b2076-447a-4df9-a3bf-a2f3769c5296/marketoutlook26

About Embraer

A global aerospace company headquartered in Brazil, Embraer has businesses in Commercial and Executive aviation, Defense & Security, and Agricultural Aviation. The company designs, develops, manufactures and markets aircraft and systems, as well as providing Services & Support to customers after-sales.

Since it was founded in 1969, Embraer has delivered more than 9,000 aircraft. On average, about every 10 seconds, an aircraft manufactured by Embraer takes off somewhere in the world, transporting over 150 million passengers a year.

Embraer is the leading manufacturer of commercial jets up to 150 seats capacity and the main exporter of high value-added goods in Brazil. The company maintains industrial units, offices, service and parts distribution centers, among other activities, across the Americas, Africa, Asia and Europe.